Market Cycles and Investment Strategy

The Inflation Cycle Provides Clarity They say history repeats itself. Philosopher George Santayana warns us that “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” We know that man is a herd animal who is susceptible to mass delusions. We have seen cycles like market bubbles dating back to the Dutch Tulip bubble […]

Gold Resumes its Bull Market as Dalio Warns of Funding Crisis

Gold turned up this past week as US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessant, sought to rein in the rising yields of 30 and 10-year US Treasuries. His efforts to buy longer-dated debt and fund it with shorter term treasuries was not entirely successful. Bessant’s actions and their apparent impotence remind markets of certain uncomfortable truths that […]

The World’s Inflection Points Major Geopolitical and Market Transitions

The war in Ukraine, the decline in gold, strength in the dollar, weakness in emerging markets, and strength outside the Magnificent Seven are events and trends that appear to be at inflection points. These reversing trends support our belief that we are in an environment similar to the post-2000 technology bubble, where investors who fought […]

Gold and Gold Miners Appear to be Bottoming

The great rotation theme we have referenced in recent years is based on changing fundamental factors like interest rates, inflation, geopolitical changes and historic analogues. We are moving from a unipolar world to a multipolar world where US military dominance is increasingly being challenged by China and others, and this is leading to slower growth […]

The Case for Gold Miners and Caution on US Equities

When markets feel euphoric and US equity valuations are near record highs, reducing equity exposure is prudent. Allocating to high growth gold mining stocks seems timely as we reallocate toward inflationary cycle beneficiaries like commodities, gold, silver, energy, value, small capitalization stocks, emerging and foreign markets. Today’s market extremes are highlighted by the chart below […]

Did NVDIA and Operation Epic Fury Mark the S&P 500 Peak?

The Global Rotation Continues NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) reported strong earnings on Thursday and then declined 4% on Friday. When stocks no longer positively respond to good news, seasoned investors believe that all the good news is priced in, and downside risks are increasingly elevated. On Friday evening Operation Epic Fury–the United States’ and Isreal joint […]

Blue Lagoon’s Second Ore Prepayment Advances Cowboy Prospects

Blue Lagoon Resources announced a CAD $1.4 million prepayment from its milling partner Nicola Mining on its second 1000-ton delivery of high-grade gold and silver ore. Friday’s announcement and payment strengthens the company’s transition to an operating gold miner with significant resource potential. For Rana Vig, Blue Lagoon Resources Inc.’s CEO, the operating success and […]

The Late 2020’s Currency Debasement Market: Rotate into Gold, Commodities, and Out of US Equities

Capital market leadership is rotating due to global currency debasement and shifting investment trends and models. Changing fundamental factors and attractive valuations are driving strength in commodities for their diversification, inflation resilience, and exposure to global growth. We foresee a continued late 2020’s rotation into gold, commodities, and out of the historically overvalued S&P 500 […]

Safe Havens for Today’s Over Levered World — Gold and International Equities.

Capital markets performance has been dominated this year by the new administration’s efforts to implement its Make America Great Again agenda. Trump’s Liberation Day tariff plan led to a sharp decline in the S&P 500 as the uncertainty of his tariff focused renegotiation of global trade agreements was greeted with fear, panic, and partisanship. Despite […]