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The Great Malaise: Stagflation and the Great Rotation in the 2020s
Decelerating tech momentum, slowing economic growth, declining consumer confidence, inflation, political rancor and flagging mental health are creating a socio-economic malaise that will undermine
Tellurian Inc.: A Disruptive Energy Transition Speculation
LNG will power the global decarbonization transition. Tellurian is a potential game changer. Tellurian will export low-cost US LNG to high-priced international markets. Is Charif
The Fed’s Transitory Inflation Argument Debunked.
The August 2020 Federal Reserve Jackson Hole meeting produced a generational shift in monetary policy in which the central bank abandoned its staunch 40 year
The Greater Fool Theory and Jenga Mirror Today’s Market
Current market valuations are extreme, but overvaluations can persist for long periods before a market peaks. Today, several negative factors are increasingly weighing on the
Major Warning Signs Point to Market Top
The US stock market is forming a major market top. Valuation measures, price charts, decelerating earnings in leading tech stocks, broad-based margin deterioration, inflation, rising
Delta Variant Pauses Reflation Cycle
COVID-19 is still the leading global market factor Rising interest rates pause with Delta Variant Great Rotation could drive 800% outperformance Inflation could torpedo benign
Inflation Drives the “Great Rotation”
Strong economic growth and inflation are persistently driving the “great rotation” from growth stocks to cyclical stocks. Were it not for the historically low Treasury
Rising Rates Drive Inflationary Market
Interest rates are rising rapidly, ending a 40-year bond bull market and shifting the economy from deflationary to inflationary. Rising interest rates are replacing COVID-19
Equity Bull Market Loses Key Driver – Low Interest Rates
Heading into the second quarter, the US economy is rapidly strengthening with COVID-19 cases plummeting and vaccinations driving the US toward herd immunity. Further economic
The Final Stages of a Historic Market Bubble
Is the Reddit revolution a sign of the top? Buffett and Shiller indicators flash extreme caution. Do social media companies foment violent extremism? Why the
Preparing for a Double Barreled Bear Market
The pandemic will end, the economy will recover, and interest rates will rise. The bond market’s 40-year bull run is over. Interest rates are rising,
COVID-19 Vaccines Jettison Stocks to New High Prices and Valuations
Political Uncertainty Continues Caution! Historically high valuations and exuberant sentiment Rising interest rates drive growth to value rotation Rising Covid-19 lockdowns could trigger a Q1