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Entering The Next Phase of the Inflationary Bear Market
The market’s decline rests with how severely earnings decline. Massive Federal Reserve Accommodation has led to multiple asset bubbles. Inflation will be tenacious due to
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New Inflationary Cycle Investments and Strategies for Secular Bear Markets
Stocks, bonds, and 60/40 had terrible first half. No surprise. The market has potentially 50% more downside, but that is not the worst case. Reflationary
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Portfolio Construction in Today’s New Investment Environment.
The investment environment has radically shifted to a commodity driven inflationary super cycle. Inflation has not been this severe in 40 years. Regrettably, commodity shortages,
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Inflation Cycle Risks Secular Bear Markets in Stock, Bonds, and Real Estate
With inflation hitting 40-year highs, interest rates are rising rapidly toward normal historical levels. With accelerating urgency, the Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank, is
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Inflation Ends Forty Year Investment Boom
Inflation is wrecking the financial boom which commenced in 1981. Both stocks and bonds have been consistent winners since the 10-year US Treasury yielded 15.6%
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The Ukraine Invasion Raises Stock Market Risks And Rewards Inflation Portfolio Strateg
Today’s record inflation unequivocally shows that we have entered a new inflation cycle. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine, inflation risks will increase further due
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The Market Crack Heard Around the World
The US market uptrend broke this past January and signaled a market top that could lead to a 45% decline in the S&P 500 over
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Persistent Inflation Threatens Four Decades of Investor Prosperity
The execution of the Fed’s reversal of its accommodating policy will dictate stock and bond market’s performance in 2022. In 2022, the “TINA” trade or
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Uncontrollable Inflation Threatens Four Decades of Prosperity
The 60/40 model is broken. Inflation is rising rapidly, and the Fed is scrambling. Inflation and Fed taper end 40 year bond bull market. Fed’s
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The Great Malaise: Stagflation and the Great Rotation in the 2020s
Decelerating tech momentum, slowing economic growth, declining consumer confidence, inflation, political rancor and flagging mental health are creating a socio-economic malaise that will undermine
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Tellurian Inc.: A Disruptive Energy Transition Speculation
LNG will power the global decarbonization transition. Tellurian is a potential game changer. Tellurian will export low-cost US LNG to high-priced international markets. Is Charif
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The Fed’s Transitory Inflation Argument Debunked.
The August 2020 Federal Reserve Jackson Hole meeting produced a generational shift in monetary policy in which the central bank abandoned its staunch 40 year