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Equity Bull Market Loses Key Driver – Low Interest Rates
Heading into the second quarter, the US economy is rapidly strengthening with COVID-19 cases plummeting and vaccinations driving the US toward herd immunity. Further economic
The Final Stages of a Historic Market Bubble
Is the Reddit revolution a sign of the top? Buffett and Shiller indicators flash extreme caution. Do social media companies foment violent extremism? Why the
Preparing for a Double Barreled Bear Market
The pandemic will end, the economy will recover, and interest rates will rise. The bond market’s 40-year bull run is over. Interest rates are rising,
COVID-19 Vaccines Jettison Stocks to New High Prices and Valuations
Political Uncertainty Continues Caution! Historically high valuations and exuberant sentiment Rising interest rates drive growth to value rotation Rising Covid-19 lockdowns could trigger a Q1
The Election is Not Over as We Predicted
• Election results will be challenged in court and uncertainty could persist through January 5th. • The Senate appears to stay Republican, leaving a divided
Extreme Election Scenarios
Technology stocks peaked on September 2nd. Our recent cautionary advice sets up election investment opportunities. We examine a blue wave and a potential Amy Coney
Better Safe Than Sorry
The technology sector peaked on September 2nd and declined in September. Buffett and Shiller indicators show today’s market valuations are extreme. Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis and the
Two Generational Trends Reverse: Fed Inflation Policy and the Bursting Technology Bubble
39 years ago, the 10-year US Treasury yield peaked at 15.312% and interest rates began declining. On August 27th, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell presented the
COVID-19 Vaccine Prospects and Curve Flattening Compel Cyclical Rotation
Sell gold and precious metals like GLD, GDX and SLV. Sell Big Tech like AMZN, AAPL, FB, GOOGL and MSFT. Pivot investments for an economic
COVID-19’s Final Act and Epilogue
The COVID-19 tragedy is entering its final stages. The rate of coronavirus spread and death have slowed. Social distancing policies and stay-at-home orders have mitigated
The Coronavirus OPEC+ Double Black Swan
In response to the COVID-19 epidemic and the March 9th OPEC+ oil collapse–two Black Swans–the S&P 500 declined 35% between February 20th and March 23rd.
A Rare Opportunity for Income and Growth
MLPs have historically compelling valuations with unusually high yields. MLPs experienced multiple black swan events creating extreme bargains. Relative to Treasuries, MLP prices are three